predictive voter turnout models
Why 3 Hyper-Local Politics Models Are Already Obsolete
Why 3 Hyper-Local Politics Models Are Already Obsolete In 2020, precincts that relied only on traditional polling missed turnout shifts that mobility data later captured, making older hyper-local models obsolete. Anonymized cellphone footfall counts now reveal who actually lives in a block, offering a clearer predictor of election day participation.