voter turnout prediction
30% Boost in Turnout From Hyper‑Local Politics Models
Hyper-local politics models can raise voter turnout by up to 30% by layering granular geographic data onto traditional forecasts. In Philadelphia, adding GIS-filtered cellphone signals boosted the predicted turnout by 15 points, outpacing exit polls and reshaping how campaigns target precincts. Hyper-Local Politics: Winning 30% More Votes with Precinct Models